Why Trump’s Peace Record Is Under Scrutiny

Why Trump’s Peace Record Is Under Scrutiny
  • calendar_today August 8, 2025
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President Donald Trump is once again making the case that he is a global dealmaker, this time with a claim that he has already ended six wars in his second term. The boast came Monday during a meeting at the White House with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and several European leaders, where Trump also floated the idea that he’s on the way to a breakthrough in the long-running and still-devastating war in Ukraine.

“I’ve done six wars — I’ve ended six wars,” Trump said. “You just take a look at some of these wars. You go to Africa and take a look at them. I’ve been all over the Middle East, from Syria down to Yemen, and then all of a sudden, we made a deal.” He later added: “India-Pakistan, we’re talking about big places.”

The White House this month released a statement touting Trump as the “President of Peace” for “delivering a new era of diplomacy” on deals or diplomatic openings involving Armenia and Azerbaijan, Cambodia and Thailand, Israel and Iran, Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo, Egypt and Ethiopia and Serbia and Kosovo. In all these cases, it added, the new deals have been built on what Trump and the White House described as “foundational agreements” that he negotiated during his first term in office, including the Abraham Accords, which normalized relations between Israel and several Arab states.

Trump likes to talk big, of course. But for Trump, the way in which it’s being framed publicly is as important as the diplomatic work being done behind the scenes, if not more so. His critics have attacked his claims about what he has accomplished or about what is already settled or truly peaceful as grossly overstated, but Trump’s team is also clearly building a record that he can use in his long-running efforts to get nominated for and win the Nobel Peace Prize.

For their part, foreign policy analysts say Trump is right that he has brokered a number of temporary ceasefires, and in some cases, actual peace treaties. They warn, though, that even when agreements are reached, many of these conflicts remain far from solved and that Trump’s deals often resemble ceasefires without addresses more than permanent resolutions. The most prominent example is the supposed peace he negotiated between Israel and Iran after a brief but intense 12-day burst of fighting last month. Trump has been crowing about how he settled the conflict by brokering a cease-fire between the two countries. But as some experts have noted, no formal truce has been put in place, and there are no guarantees that the quiet won’t be shattered by the ever-present threat from Tehran’s nuclear program.

In other cases, Trump’s peace initiatives have come up short. One of his first such efforts in the Middle East collapsed when he attempted to broker peace between Israel and Hamas, an effort that was overshadowed by an outbreak of violence in the Gaza Strip. Trump has also been unable to get U.S.-brokered peace talks off the ground with the Taliban in Afghanistan despite a widely publicized trip in his first term to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. The trip initially raised hopes that Pyongyang would come in line over its nuclear weapons program, but its stockpile has continued to grow.

Armenia-Azerbaijan and the “Trump Route”

The latest case involved Armenia and Azerbaijan. In that agreement, which was announced and signed at the White House earlier this month, the two countries are to commit to recognizing borders and renouncing violence. The new deal also includes a U.S.-brokered transportation corridor between the two countries that Aliyev dubbed the “Trump Route for Peace and Prosperity.”

In an interview, Aliyev lavished praise on Trump’s role. “President Trump, in six months, did a miracle,” he said. Analysts have noted, though, that a lot of the issues that caused the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict, including major constitutional and territorial issues, remain to be worked out.

Pressure Diplomacy in Southeast Asia and South Asia

In the Southeast Asia case, Trump warned both Cambodia and Thailand he would suspend trade deals between the two countries and the United States if the fighting did not stop. At least 38 people were killed in the fighting over the disputed border area, which also saw 35 killed on the Cambodian side. Trump’s hard-charging use of leverage and work by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) was successful in stopping the fighting, and Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet nominated Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize, crediting him with “extraordinary statesmanship.”

Trump also weighed in on a flare-up between India and Pakistan at a contested border in May. The region has already seen three full-scale wars over the disputed Kashmir territory. While Pakistan gave Washington the credit, India has disputed claims that Washington played a mediating role, and the cease-fire between the two countries remains tenuous. Most importantly, the underlying territorial issues have not been addressed.

Fragile Progress in Africa

In the case between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Trump has also heralded what he has called a deal that would see both sides agree to recognize borders and work to disarm militia groups that have battled each other. But the M23 rebel movement that has been one of the central fighting forces in that particular struggle has already rejected the deal, and many observers see the administration’s moves there as motivated by competition with China for access to African mineral wealth.

As for Trump’s mention of Egypt and Ethiopia, that involves their long-running dispute over a massive dam project along the Nile River. Trump has encouraged a spirit of compromise between the two countries, but no formal agreement has been reached

The White House has also pointed to Trump’s role in encouraging economic normalization between Serbia and Kosovo, but the two countries have not moved their embassies and are still at odds diplomatically. In fact, much of that work was undertaken at the behest of the European Union.

One can see Trump’s interests, here. He likes to make claims and talk big, and it’s also his way of personalizing diplomacy in ways that are in many cases highly unusual. His critics are right that by hollowing out the State Department and the U.S. Agency for International Development, the White House has taken a lot of the tools needed to actually turn ceasefires into lasting peace. Even Trump’s skeptics agree, though, that his direct style has also worked to bring the two sides together in some instances.

“The ones that were helpful, especially India-Pakistan, were conducted in a professional way, quietly, diplomatically, without tweeting, … laying the ground and finding common ground between the parties,” Celeste Wallander, a former Pentagon official who now is with the Center for a New American Security, told Foreign Policy. “And that’s where diplomacy has to work in these areas.”

The White House press operation has also said it would like to keep the effort going on Trump’s new targets as well. Whether his current push for peace in Ukraine and Trump’s latest efforts are to prove durable in the long term remains to be seen.